Thursday, September 20, 2012

Playing back the script, Manmohan Singh government is to stay

Recent events in national capital are following a well written script. SP moved close to support the government (although in the name of keeping BJP away from power), BSP without participating in the country wide strike indicates that she may be ready for some kind of adjustment; but it was Nitish Kumar who shot the best of all by saying 'I will help anyone form the next government at the Centre if it grants special status to Bihar'. It is yet to see whether the statement is only to raise his posture in NDA coalition vis-a-vis Narendra Modi for the position of NDA’s PM candidate in next general elections.

May be this is the flip side of democracy, national parties are forced to come to the feet of small parties, having 10-15 members, to assure majority. Looking from other end of the mirror, it looks good as well. After all national parties are forced to give an ear to the woes and problems of people represented by these small parties.

At this point government may seem to be vulnerable but strong enough to continue. If UPA II survives this crisis, which it will surely do, we may be able to expect a strong and decisive government. After all they don't have to fear Mamta till next general elections in 2014.

The million dollar question is, will the government ‘bite more bullets’ of reforms and arrest India’s relative decline in economic front?  Or we have to wait till the crisis of next sovereign rating downgrading hits our door? History doesn’t seem to be promising. During the signing of ‘Civil nuclear agreement’ with US, government seemed to be strong and decisive after thwarting the danger from Left, only to go for a long sleep. I think the biggest gainer in this whole drama is SP, as there is a possibility for getting additional financial assistance for UP from Union government, at the expense of Mamta.


1 comment:

  1. I personally think the stage for this drama had been set with the Presidential Elections. The ruling coalition had covered its bases. The turnaround by Samajwadi Party to support Mr. Pranab Mukherjee as President was probably to downgrade TMC's leverage in the government. The Congress probably wanted TMC out of the government, if not the coalition itself. Else, there is very little to explain how the government developed the guts to bring FDI in retail less than a year after it had been forced to rollback the proposal.