Wednesday, October 23, 2013

Daudia Khera: GoI is forgetting her dreams and chasing delusions

The very idea of ASI conducting surveys and excavations were always interesting for me. That type of work requires extreme patience and dedication over a long period of time to complete. They really did a good job in restoring historical sites (Hampi, Sanchi etc). However, some recent developments in ‘Daudia Khera’ village are not at all encouraging.

For those who are not yet familiar with the sequence of events unravelling in this small village, located on the banks of Ganga, let me explain it briefly. All started with the dream of an 65 year old ‘Shobhan Sarkar’, who has a large local following. According to him he got "a divine intervention" that there is a deposit of 1000 tonne gold under the remains of an old fort. Interestingly it didn’t stop there. According to reports, intervention by a cabinet minister made ASI to start digging the area for gold!!!

By the way, in Google maps that place is already marked as '1000 tonne gold spot'!!!

Question is not only about the validity of claim, but also about the way our administration works. Frankly speaking, I don’t see any possibility for 1000 tonnes of gold to be there. According to a report by Business Standard in August, total amount of gold currently with GoI is 557.7 tonnes only!!!

Now look at the situation in hand. Someone made a claim, and government jumped into the bandwagon for the reasons best known to them; and ASI became ready to spend its time and effort in it!!!

Interestingly government press release says nothing about the dream of Mr Sarkar. It says, ...Report of the preliminary investigations of GSI was received from the Ministry of Mines on 8th October, 2013 (the GSI report mentions “this prominent non-magnetic anomalous zone occurring at 5-20 m depth indicative of possible non conducting, metallic contents and/or some alloys, etc...”)...On the basis of GSI report it was decided by ASI to undertake excavations at the site to try to unearth and determine the nature of the reported deposits...”

Is this the way we want our government to function? Is this the way we want our ASI and GSI to function? Tomorrow someone else can have a dream, will ASI repeats the same procedures there as well.

Sajeev.

References

1. A Spirit Moves India to Launch a Treasure Hunt - WSJ
2. Proposed Archaeological Excavation at Sangrampur (Daundia Khera), District Unnao, Uttar Pradesh.  - GoI

Photo Courtesy: Wikipedia

Thursday, October 17, 2013

Paradise Lost Two: India – 2007 – 2013

When UPA-I came to power with the baggage of anti-market idealists, people naturally expected that it may not be easy for the new government to introduce critical reforms. However an event at the end of that term – Indo-US – nuclear deal created hope. UPA-I even went to the extent of dumping their critical allies – left groups – for saving the deal. Agreement was passed by parliament.

Riding on top of the fresh energy accumulated from this fight, popular National Rural Employment Guarantee Yojana and weakness of opposition UPA came back to Delhi with more fire power. This time expectations were high - reformer Manmohan Singh is heading the government, Left groups are almost down and out, Congress can easily assemble the required numbers...

But financial crisis of 2008 and huge scams fundamentally altered the equations.

India walked out of 2008 crisis somewhat happily (but it displayed the cracks in the system). We even maintained the pre-crisis growth rates when other parts of the world were shrinking. Indians in a way became over-confident and even started thinking about moving ahead of US, Germany, China and dreaming about a super power position. Politicians gave big statements to media and public (without much action on the ground).

Then we saw the worms coming out of the closet – telecom, PDS, Adarsh, Irrigation, common wealth games, coal, Taj corridor, Iron ore and many more – which shook the conscious of general public and they lost faith (if anything remained in the first place) on bureaucracy. Amount of money involved in these deals are so high that it is difficult to write it down in a paper. Can you tell me, in five seconds, how many zeros are there in 1.4 lakh crore rupees?

From that point onwards it became difficult to tell which one is faster – Indian administration or snail? In many cases they failed to take any decision at all. Situation was (and still is) so bad that, whatever decision they take people started smelling something wrong in it.

One biggest problem happened in this era was (and still is) the loss of Parliament’s primary. Lawmakers were more engaged in walking out than walking in. They hardly spoke about something which made sense; attendance came down; there was hardly any debate; in case there was any, it may have little to do with the issue in hand.

Is this the way parliament functioning in other countries? I recently viewed discussions on England’s House of Commons on YouTube. Even in the Australian parliament – during the famous (or rather infamous) reply from then Prime Minister Julia Gillard to then Leader of Opposition Tony Abbott. That speech was so damning for Abbott. Still I didn’t see any kind of fight club formed there; no one went close to speaker’s seat shouting nonsense on top of their voice!!! Standards are good in US Senate and House of Representatives as well. Now you may have some examples where functioning of parliament is worse than us. Let me remained you that we are looking forward not backward.

It is interesting to know that, we became more sensitive (or over-sensitive!!!) during this period. Our religious belief became so fragile that, it can’t withstand any criticism at all. Debates are often reduced to game, where contestants are looking for – who talks louder and non-stop?

Other problem came up during this period is the extra-heavy focus on vote bank politics. Both media and political parties started calculating their chances based on the total number of people belonging to a particular caste/ religion in that area. In Karnataka, UP, Bihar etc political parties decides candidates based on these numbers. Often it has nothing to do with the capability contestants or the idea they are representing. What more now a day’s various media houses are conducting election sample surveys based on how people from a particular community is most likely to vote.

People lost interest in politics; they may look to the statements of probably finance minister and (or) Prime Minister (and now RBI governor as well) to decide on which sector to invest. Slowly but steadily there is a feeling rising among middle class – politics doesn’t matter!!! I really don’t know when they will realize the foolishness of that idea.

GoI churn out laws which often turned out to be more restrictive as well as retrospective. In one shot government changed the legal framework not only for the future but for past as well. Financial departments of foreign companies often find themselves sitting on top of a 11kW line. The case in point is Vodafone.

All of sudden GoI woke up about the role of Mauritius in FDI coming to India. Who (even in the government) don’t know that, foreign funds and companies are routing money through Mauritius in order to save tax? Nothing happened all of a sudden.

It is true that there are many companies running like ghosts across India in search of thousands of acres of continuous land. GoI can hardly do anything there, we are neither living in China where government can allocate land overnight and face no serious threat nor we are in Australia were a lot of empty is space is available. Most iron ore deposits are covered by pristine forests and others are in populated areas. I don’t expect government can bring radical changes overnight, but that’s not the case with reforms in retail or defence.

What more? Even implementing GST is proving to be a herculean task. This framework is still not acceptable to a good number of states even after adding all the waters from Arabian Sea.
This lack of courage is even visible in implementing strict financial principles. Most of the government run programs are suffering heavy leaks, cost overrun and(or) time overrun.

It was not that GoI couldn’t do something, but financial prudence and rationality is often overridden by the desire to achieve popularity and votes not matter whether that policy is aligned with the best interests of the nation.

Sajeev

Thursday, October 10, 2013

Thouand Educational Channels from HRD ministry? Why?

This press release from HRD Ministry is indeed mind blowing. Ministry want to open 50 new educational DTH channels!!!

According to the press release, "HRD Ministry will soon launch 50 DTH educational channels... stated by the Secretary (HE)... channels will be different from the existing programmes on air including Gyan Darshan as new one will be more interactive... air programmes which will be live and not pre recorded... new initiatives will be one of the largest anywhere in the world of its kind... number of the channels will be increased to one thousand... has spent more than one billion dollars for ICT. Over 400 universities and twenty thousand colleges have been linked with bandwidth..."

I don't know what they are planning to do with 50 new channels. Problem with existing educational channels are neither they are up to the mark nor much interesting. I watched Gyan Darshan somewhat regularly in the past, which led me to wonder what they are planning to achieve by that?

If universities or government don’t have good quality contents then there is no point in launching thousand channels. We are not competing for some Guinness world record contest in total number of educational channels available in India.

Let me ask the ministry, do they have any idea about the popularity of Gyan Darshan itself? Why don’t they do something to improve the programs there? Government want to spend more money in ICT infrastructure? Fine; want to increase the bandwidth available for schools? Fine; want to increase computer literacy? Fine; but don’t immerse us in below average content transmitted over wonderful infrastructure like EDUSAT.

Ministry officials need to see National Geographic, History channel etc for a day and understand what is meant by quality. What about YouTube? Many Indian universities already have presence there. For e.g. youtube channel ‘NPTEL’ run by IIT Madras. Moreover YouTube may soon available in TV sets as well. Why don’t use those facilities?

Bring talented professionals from art-movie sector; bring in private sector; create a network of selected teachers to create/ assist in creating contents; and popularize it among the students. We don’t need thousand channels; 5-10 channels with quality content can serve our purpose.

Also remember that channels needs to be the output of creative process not the one to be mass manufactured by HRD ministry.

Sajeev.

References

1.       Ministry of HRD, GoI.

Tuesday, October 8, 2013

Developing Diesel Engines in India

Finally Maruti (MSIL) is planning to do what it supposed to do decades back - manufacturing engines.

According to ET report, "Maruti Suzuki is exploring...plan to build its own family of diesel engines, to power vehicles across segments. So far, Maruti has been relying on Italian carmaker Fiats 1-3 multi-jet-diesel engines...diesel engines will be developed with key inputs from its Indian subsidiary's R&D... at Rohtak in Haryana”.

It’s already late for Indian companies to focus on critical technology sectors like engine etc.

The problem is Maruthi is currently a subsidiary of Suzuki, so to what extend that engine will be developed in India is yet to see.

Sajeev.

References

1. Maruti Suzuki exploring plan to build its own family of diesel engines - ET

Monday, October 7, 2013

M-Blocks from MIT


Anyone heard about the theory of colonising planets using self duplicating robots? In short, program and equip robots with capabilities for mining and manufacturing; sent them to other planets; in this new planet they will mine for ores, convert them to metals and manufacture new robots with same or better capabilities; then send the new ones to other planets; and the process will continue.

This may look an unrealistic fantasy story. Indeed it is. But many radical path breaking discoveries emerged first as unrealistic fantasies.

M-Blocks


MIT’s Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence Laboratory (CSAIL) scientists came up with cube shaped robots (known as M-Blocks) that can "flip, jump and assemble themselves into different shapes".

According to a BBC report, "M-Blocks are currently controlled by computer instructions sent over wireless radio, but in future the researchers hope algorithms can be loaded on the blocks directly, making them entirely autonomous and capable of adapting to different environments".

MIT document describes M-Blocks as, "the robots are cubes with no external moving parts...able to climb over and around one another, leap through the air, roll across the ground, and even move while suspended upside down from metallic surfaces.

Inside each M-Block is a flywheel that can reach speeds of 20,000 RPM; when the flywheel is braked, it imparts its angular momentum to the cube. On each edge of an M-Block, and on every face, are cleverly arranged permanent magnets that allow any two cubes to attach to each other."

With these discoveries we may add one more step in the direction of self assembling bridges, new ways of doing critical surgeries etc.

Sajeev.

For more details, Read

1. Surprisingly simple scheme for self-assembling robots - MIT
2. 'Terminator' self-assembling cube robots revealed by MIT – BBC